Over the past three weeks, crypto markets have faced turbulence, corrections, and fresh signals of change. Bitcoin slipped from record highs toward key support zones, September began with its usual volatility, and whales rotated billions into Ethereum — showing where long-term confidence may be shifting.
Meanwhile, XRP is under heavy pressure at 2,31 € ($2.70), with the outcome likely to decide its short-term future. Here’s a full breakdown of the forces shaping crypto right now.
September Starts Shaky: Bitcoin Faces Pressure, Gold Breaks Out
The past three weeks have been turbulent for Bitcoin (BTC). After peaking above 106.700 € ($125,000), BTC slipped more than 15% and dropped as low as $108,600 (€93,000) before briefly rebounding to $113,100 (€97,400). At the moment, traders are watching the $100,000 (€94,000) support zone closely. Some analysts warn that if this level breaks, it could “officially” end the bull run, while others point to $110,000 (€94,000) as a strong area of support where liquidations cluster.
Market behavior shows a split between groups of investors. Smaller traders have been actively buying the dip, with over $100 million in net purchases, while large investors and institutions have mostly been net sellers during this correction. Sentiment has weakened, with the Fear & Greed Index slipping toward the fear zone.
Yet, not everything points to weakness. Despite falling BTC and ETH prices, crypto funds saw $2.5 billion in inflows last week, reversing the prior week’s $1.4 billion outflows. Demand for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP products shows that institutional interest remains strong.
On the macro side, markets are facing additional pressure from US tariff uncertainty, while investors wait for labor market data ahead of the critical September 17 Fed meeting. Historically, September is one of Bitcoin’s weakest months, and this year begins with added volatility. Meanwhile, gold has broken out again, reminding traders that Bitcoin’s competition as a store of value is still alive.
👉 Beginner takeaway: Bitcoin is in a correction, but inflows show institutions are still buying. The key levels to watch are $100,000 and $110,000. Remember, short-term turbulence is normal — what matters most is whether the long-term uptrend stays intact.est rates, which affect the whole global market. If rates are expected to fall, investors often move more money into riskier assets like crypto. If rates stay high, markets can remain under pressure.
September: The Market’s Toughest Month or the Last Shakeout?
August ended with sharp corrections, leaving many traders nervous. Now September has arrived — and historically, it’s the weakest month for Bitcoin. Data from past cycles shows that both August and September often bring more selling pressure before the market regains its strength for a usually strong Q4. That’s why many investors call this period one of the hardest tests of patience in crypto.
But there’s another key factor at play this time: the Federal Reserve. In September, markets expect a possible 0.25% interest rate cut. Even a small shift like this can add liquidity to global markets, which often benefits risk assets such as crypto. If confirmed, this decision could challenge September’s “bad month” reputation and help turn the tide.
When we look back at Bitcoin’s halving cycles, a pattern becomes clear: late-summer dips usually act as the final shakeout before a powerful recovery. Current charts still show an overall bullish structure, even though short-term caution signals remain.
In simple terms: volatility will be high, nerves will be tested, but history suggests this could be one of the last big hurdles before the next major leg up. September could bring stress and volatility, but history suggests it may also set the stage for the next major rally. For long-term investors, it’s often the moments of fear that create the best opportunities.
Whales Choose Ethereum – A Signal of Growing Market Maturity
Ethereum (ETH) has become the main focus of large investors over the past two weeks. One mysterious Bitcoin whale worth $11 billion, shifted 216 million BTC into Ethereum, building a position now worth over $4 billion. That’s more ETH than even some of the world’s largest corporate holders, showing just how much confidence big players have in Ethereum’s future.
It’s not just whales. Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen nearly $2 billion of inflows in just five trading days. This means traditional finance investors — from funds to banks — are also betting heavily on ETH. Together, whales and ETFs are signaling a “rotation” in the market, where capital is moving from Bitcoin to Ethereum and potentially to other altcoins.
At the same time, Ethereum is still showing why analysts call it the “most rate-sensitive asset in crypto.” Powell’s dovish hints about interest rate cuts sent ETH up faster than Bitcoin, proving how liquidity directly impacts it. Since April, ETH is still up more than 200%, even with recent pullbacks.
But short-term volatility is very real. ETH trades around 3.670 € ($4,300) after slipping from local highs, and derivatives data shows heavy positioning that could fuel both sudden surges and sharp drops. Whales may be accumulating, but traders should expect swings along the way.
👉 Beginner takeaway: Ethereum is gaining serious long-term trust from institutions and whales, but it still moves faster and wilder than Bitcoin. For beginners, dips may be buying opportunities, but always keep in mind that ETH’s road to higher prices will come with both excitement and turbulence.
XRP Struggles at $2.70 Support
Ripple (XRP) is under pressure, trading around 2,37 € ($2.78) after a week of steady declines. The key level to watch now is $2.70. If this support breaks, technical charts suggest a drop toward $2.00–$2.08, which would mean another 25% fall from today’s prices. On the flip side, if buyers manage to defend $2.70, XRP could rebound toward $3.09–$3.70 in the coming weeks.
The weakness isn’t just in price. On-chain activity has dropped sharply: the number of active XRP addresses has fallen from nearly 50,000 in July to just over 19,000 now. Futures trading interest also slid from almost $11 billion down to $7.7 billion, showing that many traders have stepped aside.
Investor sentiment reflects the same trend. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index for XRP is now at 46 (Fear), compared to 55 (Greed) just a month ago. Analysts warn that XRP’s descending triangle pattern and technical indicators like the MACD point to more downside risk unless a strong reversal occurs soon.
For beginners, the key takeaway is this: $2.70 is the line in the sand. If it holds, XRP has a chance to bounce back. If it fails, prices could head closer to $2.00 before finding stronger support.
Markets are volatile, and September is historically one of the toughest months for Bitcoin. But at the same time, institutional inflows, whale rotations, and Ethereum’s rising importance show that long-term momentum is far from over.
For beginners, the key is to focus less on daily swings and more on the big picture: crypto is evolving, institutions are stepping in, and every correction also creates opportunities.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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